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Originally Posted by newmum35 
Im very interested in what you said about the big change in fertility at 37 vs 40 .. do you have any sources? I guess I just can't imagine things will be THAT different in another year or two than they are now. But what do I know, thats why I wrote 
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My "source" is from back when I was hunting for an IVF clinic... and looking at individual statistics from different clinics. The CDC requires fertility clinics to publish their IVF success rates -- although I'm giving a different link here because I could not get the CDC tables to work.
http://www.sart.org/find_frm.html#
They classify women in these age groups: <35, 35-37, 38-40, 41-42, and after 42 I guess the statistics are so poor that CDC doesn't even require it as a category to report on.
Obviously these are the statistics for women who've had to resort to IVF... so not reflective of the still-fertile population. But, what I think it's showing is that in the younger groups, IVF is more able to overcome whatever defect that is causing these women (myself included in them) to not be able to conceive on their own, but that in the "older" age groups, the cause of infertility is increasingly simply due to declining egg quality (and quantity in a sense as well, since the more eggs you can retrieve in an IVF cycle, the more shots you have at a viable pregnancy -- eventually). Does that make sense? For example, my DH and I would likely have been infertile as a couple at any age -- we were both subfertile, me with PCOS and auto-immune issues and he with abnormal morphology. So when we went for IVF at age 31 (me) and 34 (DH), IVF was able to overcome our issues. Whereas, more of the women who were going in for IVF at age, say, 40, would probably have been able to get pregnant on their own just 3-5 years previously.
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Originally Posted by newmum35 
another thing I sometimes think of is if I have #2 at 39, than that would leave my options more open for possibly having a 3rd. BUt if I wait longer for #2, then will it be too late for me to ever have a 3rd?
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This is my own belief -- I don't know how "right" it is, scientifically. But I think each woman has her own age where her fertility starts to really decline, probably over several years. The statistics tell us where this range of decline falls on average, but of course that doesn't inform you on an individual level -- you could be on the curve, or way off the curve on one side or the other and we just don't know. From this I make two conclusions:
1) Trying sooner won't hurt, and trying later could hurt, because we don't know where an individual stands and we can only say that all our fertility declines with age.
2) But having said that, within any one individual, I honestly don't think 6-12 months makes a gigantic difference. 3 years, yes, but your fertility within a shorter timeframe is probably not hugely different.
Quote:
Originally Posted by newmum35 
I hear a lot in the news about women in late 40s giving birth... but those are with fertility treatments usually (I think)
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I hate those articles because I think it does women a real disservice. It creates the illusion that people are fertile well into their 40s, when the reality is very different. The vast majority of people giving birth in their late 40s -- especially for the first time -- haven't just had fertility treatment. They are using donor eggs. That's the part that the media almost never covers -- even if the celebrity admits to having had IVF, a lot of times they won't own up to the donor eggs.
Regarding the miscarriage rates... I thought it was more like 1 in 4 pregnancies end in miscarriage, but I'm going off memory here. You're right that most miscarriages happen relatively early on and the longer you go in the pregnancy, the better your chances of a live birth become. If I recall correctly, if you make it past 8-9 weeks you are already in pretty good shape because most miscarriages that happen due to the baby being not-quite-right (DNA wise) would happen before that time.
Good luck with whatever you decide. You seem to be in a good place -- you would be happy with one child if a second is just not in the cards for you, and as I said earlier, I don't think 6-12 months makes that much difference within any one individual. Some things are just out of our hands and you can't worry about things you can't control. I think the only thing I would change in my thinking is any assumption you had (if you had one) that you will be fertile until your mid-40s. That's not something I think anyone should/can assume.
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