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Originally Posted by EllyMayMomma 
I am new to temping and charts, so forgive me if this is a dumb question. But, how do you know which kind of cycle that month is going to be, a strong surge or not? Lab work? so you don't BD if it is a strong surge? If you are watching temps, how do you know if it is a 3 day cycle or 2 day cycle before it happens? I am not really question whether you can, just wanting to learn how bc I am so new at it.
I know what you mean on trying not to repeat something that stands out about conception. I lost my baby when I O'd around day 10 rather than my usual 14-15. I will not TTC that early in my cycle if I O that early again. That being said, a strong surge does not correlate into decreased egg viability and you may eventually get to where you don't completely disregard this type of cycle (if you can predict it to begin with.) But, the desire to not have a repeat, well, I totally get that.
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Ellymay, those are good questions. I can tell what kind of cycle I will have because my charting of temperatures has been extremely informative. I noticed that if my CD3 temperature is low (96.9 ish) then I can predict that I will ovulate early (around day 15). On the other hand, if my CD3 temperatures are high (around 97.3-97.4), then I will ovulate later (day 20ish).
There is some sound theory behind this- estrogen is a hormone which pushes your temperature down, and I reasoned that if my estrogen is higher at the start of my cycle, then it would peak more quickly. On the other hand, if it is lower early on, then there is slow but steady increase, which results in later ovulation.
So far, I've tested this theory only in 2 cycles and its been bang on. Of course I need more to be utterly certain, but I think it will bear out.
As to how I can tell what kind of LH surge I will have, that I have been able to predict looking at my BBT pattern as well as cervical mucus pattern. I had a cycle like this in november when I was brand new to charting. Then in April, I started seeing exactly the same pattern again. When I got my surge (strength determined on how much darker the test line was compared to the control line), I knew that my temp was going to go up in 48 hours and not 72, and turned out I was right.
I'm so sorry for your loss. I think the fact that you miscarried from your day 10 ovulation is somewhat telling. According to some schools of thought, early ovulations are not supposed to be good, and I tend to believe that.
Check out this link- it backed up some of my own theories and talks about your menstrual cycle and the day of ovulation rcan be indicative of your egg quality.
http://www.fertility.ca/2008/06/how-...r-egg-quality/