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Originally Posted by
LacieDÂ

I'm 37 weeks pg with baby #3, and wondering how much I can rely on my previous labor experiences to predict this one. Â
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With DS1, my water broke at 38w4d, contrax started but didn't follow a pattern, started Pitocin 12 hours after water broke, he was born 24 hours after water broke.Â
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With DS2, my water broke at 38w2d, contrax started but didn't follow a pattern, got them started/regulated with nipple stim, born 19 hours after water broke.Â
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I wasn't checked before DS2, but with DS1, I was 2cm/30% effaced 4 days before going into labor. Â I got checked at my appt. today and I am 2cm/50% effaced, and I'm starting to have increased cervical mucus that could be a precursor to my mucus plug. Â
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So basically I'm wondering if history is a good predictor of birth experience and if I should be preparing to go into labor sometime in the next week. Â My midwives seem to think this little guy will come at 38 weeks like his brothers, but are they right?
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Maybe, maybe not? I've heard the 3rd can be unpredictable.
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As to me, mine have been fairly similar.Â
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DD was born at 39w3d, I was 3cm/80% effaced when labor started. I had no indication of labor starting except bloody show the evening that contractions started(no BH or anything before that). Water was broken by my CNM at 8cm, labor lasted 12 1/2 hours start to finish.
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DS1 was born at 40w, I was 5cm/90% effaced when labor started(had been for a week). Again, no indication of labor starting...woke up to a strong contraction with bloody show. Water was broken by CNM at 10cm right before pushing, labor lasted a little under 4 hours start to finish.
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DS2 was born at 39w6d, I was 3cm/80% effaced when labor started. I was sort of off feeling the day before, maybe a little crampy, otherwise no signs of labor. Contractions just started and were 3-5 minutes apart immediately, along with bloody show. Water broke as I was pushing(homebirth this time), labor was just a little over 2 hours total.
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So mine seem to all come around the same time...hoping for similar timeframe with this baby.
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