Quote:
Originally Posted by
LacieD 
I'm 37 weeks pg with baby #3, and wondering how much I can rely on my previous labor experiences to predict this one.
With DS1, my water broke at 38w4d, contrax started but didn't follow a pattern, started Pitocin 12 hours after water broke, he was born 24 hours after water broke.
With DS2, my water broke at 38w2d, contrax started but didn't follow a pattern, got them started/regulated with nipple stim, born 19 hours after water broke.
I wasn't checked before DS2, but with DS1, I was 2cm/30% effaced 4 days before going into labor. I got checked at my appt. today and I am 2cm/50% effaced, and I'm starting to have increased cervical mucus that could be a precursor to my mucus plug.
So basically I'm wondering if history is a good predictor of birth experience and if I should be preparing to go into labor sometime in the next week. My midwives seem to think this little guy will come at 38 weeks like his brothers, but are they right?
Maybe, maybe not? I've heard the 3rd can be unpredictable.
As to me, mine have been fairly similar.
DD was born at 39w3d, I was 3cm/80% effaced when labor started. I had no indication of labor starting except bloody show the evening that contractions started(no BH or anything before that). Water was broken by my CNM at 8cm, labor lasted 12 1/2 hours start to finish.
DS1 was born at 40w, I was 5cm/90% effaced when labor started(had been for a week). Again, no indication of labor starting...woke up to a strong contraction with bloody show. Water was broken by CNM at 10cm right before pushing, labor lasted a little under 4 hours start to finish.
DS2 was born at 39w6d, I was 3cm/80% effaced when labor started. I was sort of off feeling the day before, maybe a little crampy, otherwise no signs of labor. Contractions just started and were 3-5 minutes apart immediately, along with bloody show. Water broke as I was pushing(homebirth this time), labor was just a little over 2 hours total.
So mine seem to all come around the same time...hoping for similar timeframe with this baby.
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