Let's make that definitely not. I think it's risky to suggest otherwise. The contest between Obama and Romney is too close to mess around. Obama is going to need every vote he can get, especially in swing states. The 3rd party candidates are going to get about 2% of the vote. Combined. In other words, no where near enough to win even a single state's electoral votes, but just enough to tip the scale between Obama and Romney.
In modern times, no third party candidate has won the presidency, and I don't see how it could happen in the near future without instant run-off voting. There are too many voters in this country who would be called "moderates." Voters who find themselves right between the Republican Party ideology and the Democratic Party ideology. They're going to keep voting for one or the other. There aren't enough people who are further left than the Democratic party. There aren't enough people who want drastic change. I wish there were. I wish a 3rd party candidate could win.
The first two major political parties in this country were the Federalists and the Democratic-Republicans. The Federalists eventually became a minor political party and eventually ceased. The Democratic-Republicans became the Democrats and Republicans. This happened when a third party (Republican - Abraham Lincoln) won the presidential race.
Yes, there have been gradual changes in political parties over the centuries, and I'm not saying that's not still happening. Right now the Republican party is going in a Tea Party sort of direction. It has moved further to the right. The Democratic party has moved further to the center. That gives the Democratic party an advantage. Over the decades, the two major parties have vaccilated back and forth in this manner. One will move toward the center as the other moves closer to its extreme. Usually the party closer to the center wins. In a way, I would love it if the Occupy movement influenced the Democrats in a left-ward direction, but in another way I recognize that this would make them less electable. Be that as it may, our country IS making progress. Gay people, for example, used to be treated like lepers. Now, the majority of the country is accepting. We have President Obama to thank for a lot of the progress in gay rights. Things do slowly change. We do the best we can with a country that is still too right-wing and has to be "dragged, kicking and screaming, into the 21st century," to quote Berke Breathed.
I hope enough people can be convinced to demand an instant run-off voting system insistently enough that a 3rd party candidate would have a chance in the modern political climate. I hope we'll be able to elect a truly progressive President some day. But as far as the election coming up in less than a month, not gonna happen. And I hope my fellow progressives will NOT vote for a 3rd party for President this year, especially in swing states, because if they voted for a 3rd party instead of Obama, it would ensure that Romney will be our President for the next four years.
I agree to disagree.
Edited by Sustainer - 10/12/12 at 1:49pm