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Mothering › Groups › September 2012 Due Date Club › Discussions › *4FUN* Your odds of labor today.

*4FUN* Your odds of labor today.

post #1 of 11
Thread Starter 

Found this link the other day and thought I would share it. I say for fun because I didn't read any info on the site so I don't know where these odds come from.

 

Make sure you change the due date to your own. I have a 1.5% chance of having my baby this weekend @38 weeks. shy.gif

 

http://spacefem.com/pregnant/due.php

post #2 of 11

Hehe.. Here's mine for today (cells don't really match up, but oh well):

 

Progress Overall odds of
spontaneous labor
Current odds of
spontaneous labor
Odds of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor
On this date By this date On this date By this date On this date Within 3 days Within 5 days Within 7 days
  39W, 2D 3.52% 30.85% 5.1% 0% 5.1% 16.2% 27.7% 39.2%

 

These look like they're calculated with different data than what we know here about average length of pregnancy- the chart below looks like just a normal distribution calculated around 40 weeks on the nose. But no less fun for it! Reminds me of the gender-guessing sites we played with before finding out.

 

Since this weekend I think I'm officially gunning for a fall equinox baby, but I'm not sure I'll make it that far (though odds are that I totally will.. who knows!). 

post #3 of 11

14.4% That's it! 

post #4 of 11
Quote:
Originally Posted by MamanFrancaise View Post

14.4% That's it! 

How is that possbile?!?!?! lol wait i noticed its only like 30 somthing percent when you "44W" so i guess 14.4 is pretty good!! ^_^

post #5 of 11

This is great! I know it's essentially meaningless, but DH was asking if there was a graph or something yesterday (I think he was kidding) so I showed him this one this morning, and guaranteed him that the baby would be born by October 19th!


Edited by Carlin - 9/10/12 at 11:48am
post #6 of 11

This is meaningless. They made a bell curve around the due date as the most likely birthing date (which is not accurate).

post #7 of 11
Quote:
Originally Posted by mole View Post

This is meaningless. They made a bell curve around the due date as the most likely birthing date (which is not accurate).

 

Hence the "for fun".. winky.gif


Edited by hyde - 9/10/12 at 12:09pm
post #8 of 11
Thread Starter 
Yeah it's just for fun I would say. :-) Something for us mamas to look at while trying to do anything to stay busy. I am only 37/2 and I am starting to feel a lot antsier than I thought I would! Things like this are just kind of meaningless fun little time passers.
post #9 of 11

Oh totally! I would just LOVE an actual chart like this based on real data. When oh when will my fetus choose to be born?!?

post #10 of 11
Quote:
Originally Posted by mole View Post

Oh totally! I would just LOVE an actual chart like this based on real data. When oh when will my fetus choose to be born?!?

 

That would be really cool.. like input your bishop score, past birth stats, activity level.. things like that.  

post #11 of 11
I think you could make it match up a little better, just by adding as many days as you need to your due date (so your due date plus 8 for a FTM).

Anyway, interesting smile.gif
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