*4FUN* Your odds of labor today. « Back to Group Discussions

[hoping4just1more]

Found this link the other day and thought I would share it. I say for fun because I didn't read any info on the site so I don't know where these odds come from.

Make sure you change the due date to your own. I have a 1.5% chance of having my baby this weekend @38 weeks. 

http://spacefem.com/pregnant/due.php

[hyde]

Hehe.. Here's mine for today (cells don't really match up, but oh well):

Progress	Overall odds of spontaneous labor		Current odds of spontaneous labor		Odds of a pregnant woman at this stage going into labor
	On this date	By this date	On this date	By this date	On this date	Within 3 days	Within 5 days	Within 7 days

39W, 2D

3.52%

30.85%

5.1%

0%

5.1%

16.2%

27.7%

39.2%

These look like they're calculated with different data than what we know here about average length of pregnancy- the chart below looks like just a normal distribution calculated around 40 weeks on the nose. But no less fun for it! Reminds me of the gender-guessing sites we played with before finding out.

Since this weekend I think I'm officially gunning for a fall equinox baby, but I'm not sure I'll make it that far (though odds are that I totally will.. who knows!). 

[MamanFrancaise]

14.4% That's it! 

[SilverMoonMama]

Originally Posted by MamanFrancaise 

14.4% That's it! 

How is that possbile?!?!?! lol wait i noticed its only like 30 somthing percent when you "44W" so i guess 14.4 is pretty good!! ^_^

[Carlin]

This is great! I know it's essentially meaningless, but DH was asking if there was a graph or something yesterday (I think he was kidding) so I showed him this one this morning, and guaranteed him that the baby would be born by October 19th!

Edited by Carlin - 9/10/12 at 11:48am

[mole]

This is meaningless. They made a bell curve around the due date as the most likely birthing date (which is not accurate).

[hyde]

Originally Posted by mole 

This is meaningless. They made a bell curve around the due date as the most likely birthing date (which is not accurate).

Hence the "for fun"..

Edited by hyde - 9/10/12 at 12:09pm

[hoping4just1more]

Yeah it's just for fun I would say. :-) Something for us mamas to look at while trying to do anything to stay busy. I am only 37/2 and I am starting to feel a lot antsier than I thought I would! Things like this are just kind of meaningless fun little time passers.

[mole]

Oh totally! I would just LOVE an actual chart like this based on real data. When oh when will my fetus choose to be born?!?

[WindyCityMom]

Originally Posted by mole 

Oh totally! I would just LOVE an actual chart like this based on real data. When oh when will my fetus choose to be born?!?

That would be really cool.. like input your bishop score, past birth stats, activity level.. things like that.  

[crystal_buffaloe]

I think you could make it match up a little better, just by adding as many days as you need to your due date (so your due date plus 8 for a FTM).

Anyway, interesting