Originally Posted by kathymuggle
The original link studies adverse events in 2 and 4 month olds (I think, with all the excessive bolting, ads, etc it was a little hard to follow) so childhood mortality not so relevant.
If the vaccine causes deaths, then the death rate in the recently vaccinated cohort would be higher than in general. If they're the same, the vaccine doesn't cause deaths. If the vaccine cohort is lower, than the vaccine is protective in some way. So I'm not sure why you're saying its not relevant?
Think of it this way. If you randomly sample 1000 children under 1 and follow them for, say, five days, you should expect 4 of them to die from a variety of things. According to this data, if you followed a recently vaccinated group of 1000 children for five days, you should only expect .09 of a child to die, or none.
OR, this data doesn't actually say what people are clawing it says, which is what I actually suspect.
Snark aside, I don't think all vaccine reactions are coincidence. I've said over and over and over that serious vaccine reactions happen, they're tragic, and they're exceptionally rare. However, when you're talking about self reported adverse events or tracking all adverse events in a given time frame after a vaccine is administered, it is a statistical fact that SOME of them are caused by coincidence. Your refusal of this really belies your naïveté and lack of statistical understanding.