A simple question here: Why is it such a big deal whether we vaccinate or don't?
I was looking at CDC numbers for cases of vaccine-preventable diseases in recent years, they are on the order of 25,000 cases/year (mostly pertussis and varicella). Out of those 25K cases, ~15 ended in death (feel free to check my numbers). In a population of over 300 million, that means you have less than a 1/100,000 chance of getting a VPD, and less than 1 chance in 10 million of dying from a VPD.
I also looked at the VAERS database, which claims to get around 30,000 reports per year, with 13% classified as "serious" adverse events. Not sure how many vaccinations are given per year, but there were 25 million children age 0-5 in 2011. Given that children get ~50 vaccinations from ages 0-5, lets assume they get an average of 10/year. So there were 25*10 million vaccinations=250 million. That means there is a 1/100,000 chance of your child having a reaction to a vaccine, and less than 1 chance in a million of having a serious reaction to a vaccine.
I realize there is lots of debate about the basis for these numbers (and feel free to check my calculations, too).
But whatever way you slice it, these risks are very small.
The risk of either getting a vaccine-preventable-disease or having an adverse reaction to a vaccine are on the range of the following:
We sure as heck don't go around doing a ton of research or worrying much about these events. So why do we get so worked up about what to do about vaccines? It might be ok to just do what you want and then not worry about it.
Just my $0.02.
Edited by naimah - 12/12/13 at 11:48pm