in very old and more recent records the information is similar stillbirth rates make a U shaped curve 36 weeks and beyond the rate for 42 and 38 weeks is pretty close to the same--- and below is an example of the later dates and you can see that the numbers are similar even in the US (even if they aren't showing what 38 weeks would be, the others are comparable)
here is an example of the info--
1: Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1997 Aug;76(7):658-62.
Comment in:
Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1998 May;77(5):582-3. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 1998 May;77(5):583-4.
Stillbirths and rate of neonatal deaths in 76,761 postterm pregnancies in Sweden, 1982-1991: a register study.
Ingemarsson I, Källén K. Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology,University Hospital and Tomblad
Institute, University of Lund, Sweden.
OBJECTIVE: To study stillbirths and neonatal mortality in the postterm period.
DESIGN: Register study of information obtained from the Swedish Medical Birth Registry (MBR), National Board of Health and Welfare, Stockholm. METHODS:
Singleton pregnancies with deliveries occurring between 1982 and 1991 were
selected involving 914,702 women (of whom 76,761 had a postterm pregnancy continuing beyond the 42nd week of amenorrhea). All 2,043 records of dead infants were scrutinized before analysis of neonatal deaths. Stratification was made for year of birth, maternal age, and parity. RESULTS: Generally, the rates of stillbirths and neonatal deaths were low. The stillbirth rate was highest for primiparas at 38 completed weeks (2.72%), lowest at 40 weeks (1.23%), then increasing to 2.26% in the postterm period. The difference vs. multiparas was significant from 41 weeks onwards. Neonatal mortality was increased at 41 completed weeks for primiparas, but for multiparas it changed significantly first in the postterm period. The OR for a primipara to have an intrauterine death increased from 1.50 at 41 weeks (1.0 at 40 weeks) to 1.79 at 42 weeks and beyond. The OR for multiparas showed no sign of increase as gestation progressed.
CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study indicate an increased risk of stillbirth with gestational age for primiparas but not for multiparas. The neonatal death rate was increased for both primiparas and multiparas (after 42 completed weeks).
Publication Types:
Review
PMID: 9292640 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
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Am. J. Obstet. Gynecol. 1998 Apr;178(4):726-31.
Fetal and neonatal mortality in the postterm pregnancy: the impact of gestational age and fetal growth restriction.
Divon MY, Haglund B, Nisell H, Otterblad PO, Westgren M.
Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, New York, USA.
OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to examine the impact of gestational age and fetal growth restriction on fetal and neonatal mortality rates in the postterm
pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: All deliveries occurring in Sweden between Jan. 1, 1987, and Dec. 31, 1992, were evaluated for participation in this study. Data were derived from the National Swedish Medical Birth Registry. Pregnancies were selected for inclusion in the study on the basis of the following criteria: (1) singleton pregnancy, (2) reliable dates, (3) gestational age > or = 40 weeks, and (4) maternal age 15 to 44 years. Fetal growth restriction was defined as birth weight <2 SD below the mean for gestational age. A total of 181,524 pregnancies met the inclusion criteria and formed the study population. Fetal and neonatal mortalities at 40 weeks' gestation were used as reference levels. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the independent effects of gestational age and fetal growth restriction on fetal and neonatal mortality rates. RESULTS: A significant rise in the odds ratio for fetal death was detected from 41 weeks' gestation and on (odds ratios 1.5, 1.8, and 2.9 at 41, 42, and 43 weeks, respectively). Odds ratios for neonatal mortality did not demonstrate a significant gestational age dependency. Fetal growth restriction was associated with significantly higher odds ratios for both fetal and neonatal mortality rates at every gestational age examined (with odds ratios ranging from 7.1 to 10.0 for fetal death and from 3.4 to 9.4 for neonatal death). CONCLUSIONS: Postterm pregnancies have long been considered to be at high risk for adverse perinatal outcome. This study documents a small but significant increase in fetal mortality in accurately dated pregnancies that extend beyond 41 weeks of gestation. This
study also demonstrates that fetal growth restriction is independently associated with increased perinatal mortality in these pregnancies.
Publication Types:
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
PMID: 9579434 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]