Nika, I don't think there's much point in drawing this out, so I'll make this the last one on this spur.
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Originally Posted by nikag 
Applying this principle in reverse, why bother to encourage your children to succeed? If your attitude toward their success or failure makes no difference in whether or not they succeed, then why not just resign one's self to the inevitable statistical probability and encourage them to do the same?
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You're mixing up the mother-child relationship (where the mother is involved) and the spousal relationship (where the ex is not, or shouldn't be).
You also need to define "success" and "at what". My father had an unusual approach to encouragement, and when I was a kid and a young woman it made me angry, but around 30 I began to see that it was remarkably wise. He really didn't encourage much. He prodded, and tested, and sparred, and when I said I wanted to do something, he showed almost no reaction besides an all-purpose, friendly, noncommittal "OK," as if it wasn't his business and he wasn't all that interested. I knew he thought I was capable, though I didn't know what he thought I might be capable
of. But he didn't offer much direction, and he sure wasn't a cheerleader.
Now I understand that he gave me a tremendous gift. He stayed out of my way and let me find my work. By not weighing in, pro or con, and not encouraging or discouraging, he let that discovery be my own, and didn't give me a chance to seek his approval by going in some direction he seemed to think was good. I know now that he wasn't at all surprised that I found the work I did. But he never let on, and even now he tends to stand back, even though he watches and listens carefully.
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| Understand that you may be the minority in this respect. |
It's possible. On the other hand, the MDC default -- be upfront with the kids about everything -- is not a universal. There's still a large part of the world that operates on You'll Thank Me When You're Older.
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| If the intention is not to intrude, then why take a stance that it is bound to fail? |
Again, that's not the stance. The stance is that it's likely to fail.
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| Why take any stance at all? |
Because of the potential for damage to the child if the marriage breaks up. If there's a likelihood of failure, given best available info, one wants to protect one's child as far as one reasonably can.
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And in reality, statistics don’t predict failure. At the very best, they tell you a likelihood of failure. But knowing there is a 50% chance of something happening to you verses not doesn’t come close to telling you which half you will fall into. If statistics were truly predictive, they would.
It takes no additional effort and manifests no statistical error to behave as though the relationship you’re thinking of will be one of the 50% (or 40 or 30 or 10) that succeeds instead of one of the 50% that fails. |
You're correct about likelihood v. prediction. However, you forgot to put stakes in your reading of likelihood, and that sucks the meaning out of it. The failure rate for second marriages is 60-70%, so let's be generous and say 60%. While it's certainly possible that the marriage may stick, if you had to put a dollar on it and you cared about the dollar, you'd put it on "fail". I have something considerably more important than a dollar at stake. I have a child's psychological wellbeing at stake. So of course I'll be polite, and pleasant, and expect the marriage will likely fail, and prepare for that failure while hoping for the best.
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| The attitude an ex exhibits toward a new wife or ex spouse, or the influences an ex exerts on the children involved can have significant effects on the fledging relationship. Regardless of whether or not that influence is negative, the very predicament of one half of the partnership being obligated to maintain a relationship with an ex for co-parenting purposes etc, adds a source of potential stress and conflict not present in other relationships. If the ex is abusive, alienating, unnecessarily controlling, pushy - then that effect is magnified and decidedly negative. |
Welll, I disagree about what's going on here. Being polite and pleasant to and about the new wife, while dealing with the ex-spouse on parenting matters, rather than a new wife whom you don't know, isn't party to the decree, and may leave -- I wouldn't call that either abusive or alienating.
Now, if what you want is for the ex to be effusive about the marriage, encourage the child to see the new wife as a permanent figure, and behave as if the new wife is in fact permanent, all in the name of helping the marriage to stick, I think you're misreading where the interests lie. (Apart from the fact that I think this is an inappropriate and intrusive role for the ex-wife.) My interest, as the child's mother, is in making sure that the child is protected and well-cared-for. While it's great if the marriage sticks, that comes a long second to being careful and realistic about what's likely to go on in my child's life. My first interest is not in shoring up a minority chance of the marriage's surviving.
And yes, I understand that a solid marriage is better for the child. However, if it can be undone by a civil, polite ex who's not an active cheerleader for the marriage, who doesn't tolerate her child's being rude or disrespectful to anyone, who doesn't involve herself with the marriage, and who deals solely with the guy on parenting -- I have my doubts about how strong the marriage is in the first place.
Working at it from the other end, I'd say it's probably helpful to avoid sharing a husband's tensions with his ex. Given the nature of divorce and custody, it's very likely there will be significant tensions over the years.
Now obviously walking away from a partner's problems isn't an easy or natural thing to do for most people. But I find it does get much easier over the years & with experience. I don't listen much anymore to men telling me about their children, or their bosses, their wives, or ex-wives, or ex-girlfriends, and the problems they have with them. I feel, far more than I used to, that it's not my place, and I don't want to be drawn in so close to tendentious relationships that are about the guy and someone else. I might listen a while to give the guy a chance to vent, but I don't probe or become personally involved. If they go on talking about family woes I redirect them, and if that doesn't take I hand the problems back to them, and suggest that maybe they should consider talking to a therapist.
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| Like I said, there are reasons behind why the statistics are what they are. They aren't predictions handed down from on high. They are reflective of the average experience of the average person and that includes much more than just a tabulation of the final result of events. There are influences and circumstances at work beneath the numbers. |
Of course. But again, in my view, the ex-wife isn't and shouldn't be placed to know what those influences and circumstances might be, so it's reasonable for her to go by broad stats. Similarly, insurance companies are not placed to know that, say, you work out regularly, live a low-stress life, and have fantastic DNA. Nor should insurers be that involved in your private lifestyle and medical matters. So your rates reflect health risks that are unrealistically high for you, but are about right for a large pool. We make these compromises. (Your alternative is having the ex there in bed with you listening to your pillow talk, smooching, and fights. And I don't know about you, but I can tell you I wouldn't volunteer.)
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