Polio-like illness emerging in California? - Mothering Forums

 
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#1 of 5 Old 02-24-2014, 01:21 PM - Thread Starter
 
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So, would anybody like to discuss this in a general way? 

 

http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/24/health/mystery-illness-in-california/

 

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/02/23/polio-like-illness-california/5703827/

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-26289614

 

Anybody care to speculate on whether this new illness will spread, or whether it will just fizzle out?  

 

And why is there so much difference in the reported number of cases from news-article to news-article?

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#2 of 5 Old 02-24-2014, 01:52 PM
 
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I think the difference is 18 cases of illness, 5 cases of paralysis, and then some imprecision over at USA Today.

 

I hope this illness won't spread, and it seems pretty slow at spreading.  Twenty cases in 18 months over a 100-mile radius suggests either that most cases are very mild and not reported, or that the virus is not highly transmissable person to person.  I would hope that someone is doing the epidemiological footwork on this with the affected families, to figure out how they might have been exposed, and then to track down those possibilities.

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#3 of 5 Old 02-25-2014, 10:40 AM
 
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Today, I read 25 cases! My Gramma called me panicking because my 5 yo had a strange cough.

It sounded to me like they know what it is, HEV-68. Like polio, most people just get a little cold. What I'm curious about is what turns it into paralysis, encephalitis, etc?

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#4 of 5 Old 02-27-2014, 07:45 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by anyalily View Post

Today, I read 25 cases! My Gramma called me panicking because my 5 yo had a strange cough.

It sounded to me like they know what it is, HEV-68. Like polio, most people just get a little cold. What I'm curious about is what turns it into paralysis, encephalitis, etc?

 

Take a look at this press release from the American Academy of Neurology: https://www.aan.com/PressRoom/Home/PressRelease/1246

 

They aren't making the link between HEV-68 and this paralysis yet.  :"Two children tested positive for enterovirus-68, a rare virus previously associated with polio-like symptoms. No cause was identified in the remaining three children." --AAN

 

It also says that a research paper was written on 5 cases specifically, while there are between 20 and 25 total suspected cases being investigated.

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#5 of 5 Old 02-27-2014, 08:15 AM
 
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Someone in the comments on the Stanford blog brought up the thought that if it is viral/bacterial, it might be drought-related. In the past, droughts have caused epidemics of anthrax and some other illnesses.

Here's a CDC page on drought-related illness: http://www.cdc.gov/nceh/drought/infectious.htm

 

Just something to ponder.

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