When 1 in 88 is really 1 in 29 - Mothering Forums

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#1 of 4 Old 06-28-2012, 11:15 AM - Thread Starter
 
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http://vaxtruth.org/2012/04/when-1-in-88-is-really-1-in-29/

 

 

 


 

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Estimated rates of autism among U.S. children in 2012:

  • 7 year olds – 1 in 48
  • 6 year olds – 1 in 42
  • 5 year olds – 1 in 37
  • 4 year olds – 1 in 33
  • 3 year olds – 1 in 29

Extrapolating out for the next ten years at the same 13% yearly increase, the predicted rate of autism among 3 year-olds…

  • 2013 = 1 in 26
  • 2014 = 1 in 23
  • 2015 = 1 in 20
  • 2016 = 1 in 18
  • 2017 = 1 in 16
  • 2018 = 1 in 14
  • 2019 = 1 in 12
  • 2020 = 1 in 11
  • 2021 = 1 in 10
  • 2022 = 1 in 9

Sobering.  Isn’t it?

 

 


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#2 of 4 Old 06-28-2012, 12:44 PM
 
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#3 of 4 Old 06-28-2012, 01:24 PM
 
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The maths in that article is very "inventive" (which is me trying to be polite when I point out it's nonesense).

 

You can't extrapolate figures like that. You can't take a percentage increase over 6 years, divide it by 6 to get an annual increase and then use it to extrapolate 10 years into the future.  


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#4 of 4 Old 06-29-2012, 10:55 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mirzam View Post

http://vaxtruth.org/2012/04/when-1-in-88-is-really-1-in-29/

 

  • 2021 = 1 in 10
  • 2022 = 1 in 9

Sobering.  Isn’t it?

 

If there is any "good news" in this engineered tragedy it may be this.

 

"As the children go to sleep the parents wake up."

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