When 1 in 88 is really 1 in 29 - Mothering Forums

Old 06-28-2012, 11:15 AM - Thread Starter

Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Resistance Free Earth
Posts: 7,618
Mentioned: 3 Post(s)
Quoted: 135 Post(s)

http://vaxtruth.org/2012/04/when-1-in-88-is-really-1-in-29/

Quote:

Estimated rates of autism among U.S. children in 2012:

• 7 year olds – 1 in 48
• 6 year olds – 1 in 42
• 5 year olds – 1 in 37
• 4 year olds – 1 in 33
• 3 year olds – 1 in 29

Extrapolating out for the next ten years at the same 13% yearly increase, the predicted rate of autism among 3 year-olds…

• 2013 = 1 in 26
• 2014 = 1 in 23
• 2015 = 1 in 20
• 2016 = 1 in 18
• 2017 = 1 in 16
• 2018 = 1 in 14
• 2019 = 1 in 12
• 2020 = 1 in 11
• 2021 = 1 in 10
• 2022 = 1 in 9

### Sobering.  Isn’t it?

t

"The opposite of a lie is not necessarily the truth, but another version of the lie." ~ Cameron Day
Mirzam is online now

Old 06-28-2012, 12:44 PM

Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Albuquerque, New Mexico
Posts: 135
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)

married to my best friend ; Proud mama of one fine boy and one fine girl !!!!
Caracol8 is offline
Old 06-28-2012, 01:24 PM

Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,828
Mentioned: 1 Post(s)
Quoted: 144 Post(s)

The maths in that article is very "inventive" (which is me trying to be polite when I point out it's nonesense).

You can't extrapolate figures like that. You can't take a percentage increase over 6 years, divide it by 6 to get an annual increase and then use it to extrapolate 10 years into the future.

Mother of two living in UK. Daughter (2007) born in USA, son (2010) born here. I'm pro natural birth, midwife care, breastfeeding, co-sleeping, baby wearing and a keen advocate of cloth diapering. I'm a full time working research scientist (physical sciences) and I'm pro-vaccine.

prosciencemum is online now
Old 06-29-2012, 10:55 AM
Banned

Join Date: May 2012
Location: PNW
Posts: 575
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mirzam

http://vaxtruth.org/2012/04/when-1-in-88-is-really-1-in-29/

• 2021 = 1 in 10
• 2022 = 1 in 9

### Sobering.  Isn’t it?

If there is any "good news" in this engineered tragedy it may be this.

"As the children go to sleep the parents wake up."

Louisw is offline