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Postdates / UR risk

827 Views 10 Replies 6 Participants Last post by  mightymoo
Does anyone have any info on how the risk of uterine rupture relates to postdates pregnancy? (I realize its probably a pipe dream that anyone would have done this research, but I thought I'd ask). I've tried searching pubmed, but nothing comes up for 'VBAC postdates' - maybe there is another term I should use?

ETA - please don't post any personal stories of rupture to this thread. Thanks.
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Here's a link to the SOGC (Society of Obstetricians and Gynecologists of Canada) guidelines on VBAC. If you scroll down to the 18th recommendation, there's a little bit about post-dates. I don't have any other info, though.

VBAC Guidelines - SOGC
Quote:

Originally Posted by Storm Bride
Here's a link to the SOGC (Society of Obstetricians and Gynecologists of Canada) guidelines on VBAC. If you scroll down to the 18th recommendation, there's a little bit about post-dates. I don't have any other info, though.

VBAC Guidelines - SOGC
Actually that helped a lot - the studies they referenced were older and only compared prior to 40 weeks with after and I'm looking for more info on whether the risk increases post 42 weeks, but it helped me figure out better search terms and I did find this study: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/q...48&query_hl=17 which at least breaks out the risk after 41 weeks versus before. Unfortunately it shows the UR risk as increasing after 41 weeks.

Thanks!
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Sorry to hear about the risk increase - hope it's not too high. It's all kind of scary.

The risk that OB's usually accept (at least here) for rupture is 0.5% for a "standard" VBAC...I'm trying for VBA2C, which brings it up to 3.0%. At least...if baby's not breech, I am.
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You have to remember too the likelyhood of induction goes up after 40wks and the risk of rupture when labor is induced is increased.
Quote:

Originally Posted by coopnwhitsmommy
You have to remember too the likelyhood of induction goes up after 40wks and the risk of rupture when labor is induced is increased.
Good point, its not clear from the abstract whether they accounted for that or not. It's a recent study, done well after they knew induction increased the risks, and claims to have 'adjusted for confounding variables' but without looking at the study itself there isn't any way to know.
According to the Maternity Center Association's research here

There is no increased risk. I know in this document they looked and many, many studies and probably would have controlled for increase in induction rates post-term.
DoctorJen mentioned in another post that there was no correlation between postdates and rupture risk. She said something to the effect of there is not a greater risk based on the size of your uterus. Don't quote me quoting her or anything, though. I'll try to see if I can dig up that post.

I agree with coopnwhitsmommy that it would be hard to find the truth out in any study where the group included inductions.

Sorry I have no cold hard facts for you.
Found it!

http://mothering.com/discussions/sho...=280553&page=2

She's right there at the top. Perhaps you can dialogue with her about this.
I went looking and can't find the reference for uterine rupture and postdates. It comes from the AAFP statement on VBAC, of which only the summary is available online. Generally, though their policy statements are pretty well researched. The summary doesn't refer to postdates, though, either.
I did find one older study on pubmed
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/q...020&query_hl=1
The problem I'm having is that 'postdates' seems to be defined in all these studies (and in that Maternity Center Association info) as post 40 weeks - which theoretically over half of women would be if induction isn't included. Whereas I'm looking for much later - post 42 weeks which I think with the numbers of women in these studies ends up being such a tiny portion of the whole that any chance of detecting an increased risk (or proving to me there is no increase) is lost.

Oh well, it looks like there really isn't much out there, but thanks everyone for your help!
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